LostInDaJungle Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 6 hours ago, fredtoast said: Here is the way I look at it. If 5 teams have done it, but none have done it in 19 years then the odds are that a team will do it this year. Statistically we are overdue for an 0-3 team to make the playoffs. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Dub Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 8 hours ago, LostInDaJungle said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy Exactly. Odds don't possess a memory. You can throw "tails" 100 times in a row and the odds on your 101st are still 50/50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|Bunghole| Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 I think the only reason why we have a slim chance is because of our division being weak this year. Everyone looks beatable and vulnerable. If we can sweep the division the rest of the way I say we can make it. A lot has to happen for us to get in though, including us counting on other teams beating the Steelers and the Ravens the rest of the way. So I say there's a feeble glimmer of hope, but chances are certainly against us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|SF2| Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 8 hours ago, PatternMaster said: He was killed by Orlando Anderson Allegedly. Dead men can't talk in either case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|SF2| Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 33 minutes ago, T-Dub said: Exactly. Odds don't possess a memory. You can throw "tails" 100 times in a row and the odds on your 101st are still 50/50. Not even close to same thing. A coin has EXACTLY a 50% chance to land head or tails. The Bengals don't have a 50% chance to beat the Stealers on the road If your theory held true every team would have the same chance of winning the Super Bowl every year which isn't the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whodey365 Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 I voted no. If they win this weekend and get 2-3 going into the bye I'd feel better. 1 and 4 will be difficult to come back from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Dub Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 28 minutes ago, SF2 said: Not even close to same thing. A coin has EXACTLY a 50% chance to land head or tails. The Bengals don't have a 50% chance to beat the Stealers on the road If your theory held true every team would have the same chance of winning the Super Bowl every year which isn't the case. You're missing the point. They aren't "due" anything because of statistics. The odds of seeing the postseason aren't improved because a 0-3 team hasn't made it recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turningpoint Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 This is the year I think it happens root for kc and the NFC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|schotzee| Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 1 hour ago, SF2 said: Not even close to same thing. A coin has EXACTLY a 50% chance to land head or tails. The Bengals don't have a 50% chance to beat the Stealers on the road If your theory held true every team would have the same chance of winning the Super Bowl every year which isn't the case. You guys are both wrong. Depending on what type of surface you are flipping it on, it could land on its edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|schotzee| Posted October 5, 2017 Report Share Posted October 5, 2017 Will me make the playoffs? Sure, I absolutely believe it's possible with the talent on this team and especially the way the d has played. Again, we could very easily be 3-1 even with all the sloppiness. They can beat anyone when they don't give the ball away more than they take it away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marlon23 Posted October 6, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 6, 2017 Nice to see some have not given up already. WHO DEY!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ccartman2 Posted October 7, 2017 Report Share Posted October 7, 2017 You're missing the point. They aren't "due" anything because of statistics. The odds of seeing the postseason aren't improved because a 0-3 team hasn't made it recently.Chiefs made after starting 0-5 a few years ago. While the start is terrible if you want to make the playoffs the stats are worse because teams that start 0-3 start that way because they suck. If the oline improves we are far better than that but it's a big if. We shouldn't have lost the first two at home and because of that we will probably miss the playoffs. Right now we need to win all of our home games and go at least 500 on the road to have a shot. That's 9-3 over the next 12. Are we that good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pucksinwah Posted October 7, 2017 Report Share Posted October 7, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 3:37 PM, fredtoast said: Here is the way I look at it. If 5 teams have done it, but none have done it in 19 years then the odds are that a team will do it this year. Statistically we are overdue for an 0-3 team to make the playoffs. I agree 100% it's due to happen this year.... the Stealers are very beatable, Ravens & Browns both weak.... if our O-line jells quickly we will win the AFC north, imo.... the schedule gets easier for us too.... but we have to win the next two games.... & that means our offense HAS TO MOVE THE CHAINS.... stay on the field, run the ball....control the tempo... keeps our defense stronger/fresher... we'll find out this sunday....1:00 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marlon23 Posted October 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 On 10/4/2017 at 1:34 PM, Marlon23 said: Will we Make the playoffs this year? I think if we Beat Buffalo this weekend, we make the adjustments out of the Bye Week and we actually Make and Win a Playoff game this year. What do you guys and gals think? One step closer!! Boom!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|High School Harry| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 I still don't think so. Sorry. We have beaten two woeful teams. I do not think Cleveland will win a game all year. We face far better teams than we have seen and our O line is abominable. However, Ben looks like he is washed up and has quit for Pittsburgh. Baltimore may benefit more from this than us considering they have already beaten us and at home. Not sure how much the final game of the season at Baltimore away will matter but at least I won't be sitting out in the cold on New Years Eve. So, nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|schotzee| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 13 minutes ago, High School Harry said: I still don't think so. Sorry. We have beaten two woeful teams. I do not think Cleveland will win a game all year. We face far better teams than we have seen and our O line is abominable. However, Ben looks like he is washed up and has quit for Pittsburgh. Baltimore may benefit more from this than us considering they have already beaten us and at home. Not sure how much the final game of the season at Baltimore away will matter but at least I won't be sitting out in the cold on New Years Eve. So, nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|High School Harry| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 1 hour ago, schotzee said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Le Tigre Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 1 hour ago, High School Harry said: I still don't think so. Sorry. We have beaten two woeful teams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|schotzee| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, High School Harry said: Lol. Was jmwy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fredtoast Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 5 hours ago, High School Harry said: our O line is abominable. The Ogbominal Lineman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 6 hours ago, High School Harry said: I still don't think so. Sorry. We have beaten two woeful teams. I do not think Cleveland will win a game all year. We face far better teams than we have seen and our O line is abominable. However, Ben looks like he is washed up and has quit for Pittsburgh. Baltimore may benefit more from this than us considering they have already beaten us and at home. Not sure how much the final game of the season at Baltimore away will matter but at least I won't be sitting out in the cold on New Years Eve. So, nope. You know Buffalo beat Atlanta and Denver, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|High School Harry| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 1 hour ago, fredtoast said: The Ogbominal Lineman Very nice, Fred +1 Does he come in orange? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
|High School Harry| Posted October 9, 2017 Report Share Posted October 9, 2017 30 minutes ago, Jason said: You know Buffalo beat Atlanta and Denver, right? They looked like they couldn't beat their meat Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BengalBuck Posted October 10, 2017 Report Share Posted October 10, 2017 The Bengals are a game out and appear to be playing the best football in the division with 11 games to go.... I like the chances of getting back to the playoffs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluhartz Posted October 10, 2017 Report Share Posted October 10, 2017 2 hours ago, Jason said: You know Buffalo beat Atlanta and Denver, right? when you're trying to say we suck...those games don't matter... Common Jason... you know this by now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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