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AmishBengalFan

2020 Draft Order Tracker

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27 minutes ago, I_C_Deadpeople said:

I am watching the Alabama - LSU game; Mikey sent me a fax and said he would give me $50 to scout the game and fax back a scouting report. 

I've been watching it on and off...honestly I don't see either QB being an overnight sensation in the NFL.  I must be missing something, although I admittedly don't watch much college football.

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Order Updated thru 11/18 MNF

 

1: CIN (0-10) SoS=0.568
2: WAS (1-9) SoS=0.525
3: NYG (2-8) SoS=0.463 +3
4: MIA (2-8) SoS=0.491
5: NYJ (3-7) SoS=0.481 -2
6: TBB (3-7) SoS=0.528 +2
7: DEN (3-7) SoS=0.542 +2
8: ATL (3-7) SoS=0.571 -3
9: ARI (3-7-1) SoS=0.547 +2
10: LAC (4-7) SoS=0.512 +4
11: JAX (4-6) SoS=0.469 +2
12: CLE (4-6) SoS=0.506 -5
13: CHI (4-6) SoS=0.530 -3 (traded to OAK)
14: DET (3-6-1) SoS=0.488 -2
15: PHI (5-5) SoS=0.457 +3
16: PIT (5-5) SoS=0.503 +1 (traded to MIA)
17: TEN (5-5) SoS=0.506 -2
18: CAR (5-5) SoS=0.525 +1
19: OAK (6-4) SoS=0.458 -3
20: LAR (6-4) SoS=0.537 (traded to JAX)

---playoff teams---

21: DAL (6-4) SoS=0.463
22: IND (6-4) SoS=0.469
23: HOU (6-4) SoS=0.531 +1 (traded to MIA)
24: KCC (7-4) SoS=0.537 +1
25: BUF (7-3) SoS=0.419 +1
26: MIN (8-3) SoS=0.469 -3
27: GBP (8-2) SoS=0.482 +1
28: BAL (8-2) SoS=0.485 -1
29: NOS (8-2) SoS=0.494 +1
30: SEA (8-2) SoS=0.528 -1
31: NEP (9-1) SoS=0.422
32: SFF (9-1) SoS=0.494
 

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On 11/7/2019 at 5:08 PM, I_C_Deadpeople said:

Dalton is a younger Fitz - valuable for stop gap. 

Without the giant beard. Not as smart as Fitz, but a little better athletically...pretty much even.

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Updated through 11/24 SNF:

 

1: CIN (0-11) SoS=0.581  
2: NYG (2-9) SoS=0.466 +1
3: MIA (2-9) SoS=0.503 +1
4: WAS (2-9) SoS=0.509 -2
5: DEN (3-8) SoS=0.537 +2
6: ATL (3-8) SoS=0.574 +2
7: DET (3-7-1) SoS=0.480 +7
8: ARI (3-7-1) SoS=0.552 +1
9: JAX (4-7) SoS=0.472 +2
10: NYJ (4-7) SoS=0.480 -5
11: LAC (4-7) SoS=0.497 -1
12: TBB (4-7) SoS=0.520 -6
13: PHI (5-6) SoS=0.457 +2
14: CHI (5-6) SoS=0.509 -1 (traded to OAK)
15: CLE (5-6) SoS=0.517 -3
16: CAR (5-6) SoS=0.534 +2
17: OAK (6-5) SoS=0.452 +2
18: IND (6-5) SoS=0.472 +4
19: TEN (6-5) SoS=0.500 -2
20: LAR (6-4) SoS=0.549  (traded to JAX)

--- playoff teams ---

21: DAL (6-5) SoS=0.466  
22: PIT (6-5) SoS=0.512 -6 (traded to MIA)
23: HOU (7-4) SoS=0.520  (traded to MIA)
24: KCC (7-4) SoS=0.523  
25: BUF (8-3) SoS=0.429  
26: MIN (8-3) SoS=0.455  
27: GBP (8-3) SoS=0.472  
28: BAL (8-2) SoS=0.506  
29: NOS (9-2) SoS=0.494  
30: SEA (9-2) SoS=0.532  
31: NEP (10-1) SoS=0.434  
32: SFF (10-1) SoS=0.503  
 

Order is based on:

NON-PLAYOFF TEAMS select before PLAYOFF TEAMS

Worse records select before better records

If tied, worse strength schedule select before better strength of schedule

If still tied, division or conference tiebreakers are applied (if teams from same division/conference)

If still tied, coinflip

 

+# means the team moved UP # spots since the last update

-# means the team moved DOWN # spots since the last update

 

Notes:

#1 = All teams from 21-32 are currently sitting in playoff spots.  They are ranked based on record/SoS right now, but their actual draft order will be based on the playoff round they exit in.

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9 hours ago, AmishBengalFan said:

Updated through 11/24 SNF:

 

1: CIN (0-11) SoS=0.581  
2: NYG (2-9) SoS=0.466 +1
3: MIA (2-9) SoS=0.503 +1
4: WAS (2-9) SoS=0.509 -2
5: DEN (3-8) SoS=0.537 +2
6: ATL (3-8) SoS=0.574 +2
7: DET (3-7-1) SoS=0.480 +7
8: ARI (3-7-1) SoS=0.552 +1
9: JAX (4-7) SoS=0.472 +2
10: NYJ (4-7) SoS=0.480 -5
11: LAC (4-7) SoS=0.497 -1
12: TBB (4-7) SoS=0.520 -6
 

I'm still going with we blow the number one slot.

And Andy and probably A.J. makes that doable facing

Miami and the Jets.

Win 2 and its looking 5th-ish

Win 3 and as low as 9.

Actually, a lot of football left, lots of time to really fuck up this season.

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4 hours ago, High School Harry said:

I'm still going with we blow the number one slot.

And Andy and probably A.J. makes that doable facing

Miami and the Jets.

Win 2 and its looking 5th-ish

Win 3 and as low as 9.

Actually, a lot of football left, lots of time to really fuck up this season.

Animal House Lets GIF by swerk

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5 hours ago, High School Harry said:

I'm still going with we blow the number one slot.

And Andy and probably A.J. makes that doable facing

Miami and the Jets.

Win 2 and its looking 5th-ish

Win 3 and as low as 9.

Actually, a lot of football left, lots of time to really fuck up this season.

I think the lowest we could go is 4 with 2 wins. 

  • Upvote 1

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3 hours ago, MichaelWeston said:

Thanks

Sounds about right

Beat the Jets, Miami and Cleveland once...

No Chase, no Burrows ...

Tua is hurt and I'm not sure if Herbert is worth a pick that high.

Back to the drawing board for best Linebacker or O lineman.  Maybe even a good defensive back.

 

Would consider trading down if the price is right and someone is in love with someone sliding.

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35 minutes ago, High School Harry said:

Back to the drawing board for best Linebacker or O lineman.  Maybe even a good defensive back.

CeeDee Lamb or Jerry Jeudy would have to be in play at that spot as well if Andrew Thomas and Jeff Okudah are both gone. Both of those guys are legit top 10 prospects, IMO.

 

No way I'd take Hebert that high.  

 

 

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56 minutes ago, spicoli said:

CeeDee Lamb or Jerry Jeudy would have to be in play at that spot as well if Andrew Thomas and Jeff Okudah are both gone. Both of those guys are legit top 10 prospects, IMO.

 

No way I'd take Hebert that high.  

 

 

Paul Newman GIF by Maudit

"Who are these guys?" 

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7 hours ago, MichaelWeston said:

I think we would still pick 1 with 2 losses bases on strength of schedule.  

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5 minutes ago, SF2 said:

I think we would still pick 1 with 2 losses bases on strength of schedule.  

Wouldn’t the tiebreaker go to the team with the WEAKEST strength of schedule?

 

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1 minute ago, Cricket said:

Wouldn’t the tiebreaker go to the team with the WEAKEST strength of schedule?

 

I think it is the other way around. 

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12 hours ago, spicoli said:

the dreaded WR's

We will only take them if they are injured, bone stupid or both.  Preferably both.

Criminal records or college suspensions, of course, mandatory.

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On 11/27/2019 at 10:35 PM, SF2 said:

I think it is the other way around. 

 

No, it's the opposite of the playoff tiebreaker. For 2 teams with the same record, the one whose opponents had the worst record will get the earlier draft pick.

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Updated through 12/1 SNF:

 

1: CIN (1-11) SoS=0.573
2: NYG (2-10) SoS=0.466
3: WAS (3-9) SoS=0.490 +1
4: MIA (3-9) SoS=0.495 -1
5: ATL (3-9) SoS=0.566 +1
6: DET (3-8-1) SoS=0.487 +1
7: ARI (3-8-1) SoS=0.545 +1
8: JAX (4-8) SoS=0.479 +1
9: NYJ (4-8) SoS=0.484 +1
10: LAC (4-8) SoS=0.510 +1
11: DEN (4-8) SoS=0.531 -6
12: PHI (5-7) SoS=0.455 +1
13: TBB (5-7) SoS=0.503 -1
14: CAR (5-7) SoS=0.537 +2 (Note 2)
14: CLE (5-7) SoS=0.537 +1 (Note 2)
16: OAK (6-6) SoS=0.463 +1
17: IND (6-6) SoS=0.484 +1
18: CHI (6-6) SoS=0.505 -4 (traded to OAK)
19: TEN (7-5) SoS=0.495
20: LAR (7-5) SoS=0.542 (traded to JAX)

--- playoff teams (Note 1) ---

21: DAL (6-6) SoS=0.469  
22: PIT (7-5) SoS=0.510 (traded to MIA)
23: HOU (8-4) SoS=0.516 (traded to MIA)
24: KCC (8-4) SoS=0.521  
25: MIN (8-3) SoS=0.456 +1
26: BUF (9-3) SoS=0.438 -1
27: GBP (9-3) SoS=0.463
28: SEA (9-2) SoS=0.524 +3
29: NEP (10-2) SoS=0.453 +3
30: NOS (10-2) SoS=0.484 -1
31: BAL (10-2) SoS=0.510 -3
32: SFF (10-2) SoS=0.511

 

Note 2: Carolina/Cleveland to flip a coin to break tie.

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15 minutes ago, sparky151 said:

If we won out, it could be as low as 14, depending on which other teams win games among themselves.

 

That would require about a dozen other teams to not win another game, though.  That's even less likely than us winning out :D

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3 hours ago, T-Dub said:

 

That would require about a dozen other teams to not win another game, though.  That's even less likely than us winning out :D

 

No, it would just require the teams which already have 5 wins to not win another game. For example, the Giants and Redskins play each other but it doesn't matter who wins that if we win all our remaining games.

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Heading into 12/9 MNF:

 

1: CIN (1-12) SoS=0.575
2: NYG (2-11) SoS=0.456
3: WAS (3-10) SoS=0.483
4: MIA (3-10) SoS=0.490
5: DET (3-9-1) SoS=0.498 +1
6: ARI (3-9-1) SoS=0.553 +1
7: JAX (4-9) SoS=0.481 +1
8: ATL (4-9) SoS=0.553 -3

--- nobody below this line can be the #1 pick ---
9: NYJ (5-8) SoS=0.466
10: LAC (5-8) SoS=0.512
11: DEN (5-8) SoS=0.531
12: CAR (5-8) SoS=0.536 +2
13: PHI (5-8) SoS=0.449 -1
14: OAK (6-7) SoS=0.478 +2
15: IND (6-7) SoS=0.486 +2
16: TBB (6-7) SoS=0.493 -3
17: CLE (6-7) SoS=0.541 -2
18: CHI (7-6) SoS=0.505 [traded to OAK]
19: TEN (8-5) SoS=0.486
20: LAR (8-5) SoS=0.543 [traded to JAX]

--- playoff teams below this line ---

21: DAL (6-7) SoS=0.463
22: PIT (8-5) SoS=0.512 [traded to MIA]
23: HOU (8-5) SoS=0.514 [traded to MIA]
24: BUF (9-4) SoS=0.442 +2
25: MIN (9-4) SoS=0.466
26: KCC (9-4) SoS=0.522 -2
27: NEP (10-3) SoS=0.451 +2
28: GBP (10-3) SoS=0.466 -1
29: NOS (10-3) SoS=0.488 +1
30: SEA (10-3) SoS=0.531 -2
31: BAL (11-2) SoS=0.512
32: SFF (11-2) SoS=0.514
 

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