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Are you kidding me? Playoffs?! I'm just hoping we can win a game, another game!


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On 12/20/2021 at 8:51 PM, Jamie_B said:

 

 

Beat Baltimore and Cleveland should be the only team we should have to worry about. 

 

They likely lose against Green Bay this week, but then we likely lose the following week against KC. 

 

That following week the get Pitt and then us. 

 

Both teams (us and them) need to win 2 of 3. 

 

If we beat the rats, which we should do unless we shit the bed at home again, we will basically have a 2 game lead on them with the tie breaker with 2 games left. The turds and stealers play the best team record in each conference. So if they both lose, we will be sitting pretty. The turds, stealers rats round robin over the last two weeks will knock a team or two out.

 

So I think we clinch with a rats win and one of the last 2 if the turds and stealers don't luck out again this weekend. And I think with that this weekend scenario we could win the division without winning either of the last 2 if the other division games play out in our favor.

 

Another promising factor is that we should end up with the best division record which would help us in a 3 team tie breaker. Shittsburgh won't be in that unless there's more tie games in the division.

 

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17 minutes ago, Hooky said:

If we beat the rats, which we should do unless we shit the bed at home again, we will basically have a 2 game lead on them with the tie breaker with 2 games left. The turds and stealers play the best team record in each conference. So if they both lose, we will be sitting pretty. The turds, stealers rats round robin over the last two weeks will knock a team or two out.

 

So I think we clinch with a rats win and one of the last 2 if the turds and stealers don't luck out again this weekend. And I think with that this weekend scenario we could win the division without winning either of the last 2 if the other division games play out in our favor.

 

Another promising factor is that we should end up with the best division record which would help us in a 3 team tie breaker. Shittsburgh won't be in that unless there's more tie games in the division.

 

While I like the post and agree with it...

Jeeezzeee... fellow MILFordonian, don't jinx it. :51_scream:

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51 minutes ago, Hooky said:

If we beat the rats, which we should do unless we shit the bed at home again, we will basically have a 2 game lead on them with the tie breaker with 2 games left. The turds and stealers play the best team record in each conference. So if they both lose, we will be sitting pretty. The turds, stealers rats round robin over the last two weeks will knock a team or two out.

 

So I think we clinch with a rats win and one of the last 2 if the turds and stealers don't luck out again this weekend. And I think with that this weekend scenario we could win the division without winning either of the last 2 if the other division games play out in our favor.

 

Another promising factor is that we should end up with the best division record which would help us in a 3 team tie breaker. Shittsburgh won't be in that unless there's more tie games in the division.

 

 

 

The thing I'm worried about is the last game against Cleveland here is why. 

 

This week if we beat the Rats, we go up on them by a game and have the tie breakers if it comes to that.

This week the Browns play the Packers, which they should lose, meaning we go up by a two games against them, they still have the tie breaker against us.

The Steelers play KC which they also should lose, putting us 2.5 games ahead of them as well (.5 because of their tie)

 

Next week we play KC, I don't think we win that. 

The Rats will play the Rams, I also don't think they win that, which keeps them a game behind us.

The Browns play the Steelers, they lost the 1st time but unless the get hit with Covid again I think they are the better team. A win combined with us losing to KC brings them back to within one game of us. 

Steelers, see above. This would end their season, I believe officially. 

 

Last week we play the Browns, if they are a game behind us, and beat us, they are in and we are out, because they hold the tie breaker.

Ravens play Steelers in a meaningless game. 

 

 

So we have to beat the Ravens, and unless Cleveland drops one against the Steelers, we will have to beat them too.

 

The concern I have about them is the drubbing they put on us last time, and that they match up well against us because our Oline isnt great against top end pass rushers, and because our Linebackers are thin against their good running game.

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1 hour ago, Jamie_B said:

 

This week if we beat the Rats, we go up on them by a game…[snip] 

 

The Stealers play KC which they also should lose, putting us 2.5 games ahead of them as well (.5 because of their tie)…

[snip]


I believe a Bengal win coupled with a stealer loss this weekend puts us ahead of them by 1.5 games, not 2.5.  We are only a half game ahead of them now…because of their tie.

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19 minutes ago, I_C_Deadpeople said:

For only the fourth time ever, 27 teams remain alive for the playoffs with only three weeks left in the season.

As noted by James Palmer of NFL Media, only five teams have a fork stuck in them: the Jaguars, Texans, Lions, Jets, and Bears.

 

look at the bright side: we only lost to 2 of those teams.  :facepalm:

 

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23 hours ago, High School Harry said:

While I like the post and agree with it...

Jeeezzeee... fellow MILFordonian, don't jinx it. :51_scream:

Good point. Burrow and other players will probably read this and feel too much unnecessary pressure and anxiety.

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14 minutes ago, Cricket said:

I don’t remember this Deebo Samuel guy doing much when the 49ers played us.  Was he out for that game, or did he not get the ball very much because we were leaving Kittle open?  :shrug: 

He didn’t do much but he didn’t have to because Kittle ate us alive.

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https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/12/27/bengals-joe-burrow-already-better-than-marvin-lewis-era

The Bengals Might Already Be Better Than They Ever Were Under Marvin Lewis

Joe Burrow's historic day shows Cincinnati has a higher ceiling their previous incarnation that made six one-and-done playoff exits.
 

Curse modernity and the age of instant reply, which robbed us of a fifth Joe Burrow touchdown on Sunday, on a pass that would have pushed his total for the day over 500 yards. With the game well out of reach already, he eventually eclipsed the mark, and his 525 yards give him the fourth-highest single-game total in NFL history, behind only Norm Van Brocklin, Warren Moon and Matt Schaub. While the performance was already the most significant of Burrow’s professional career, the increasingly gaudy numbers would have added an air of fitting decadence to an afternoon that taught us so much about the Bengals.

For the first time in 12 years, Cincinnati has swept the rival Ravens and Steelers. The Bengals are in sole possession of first place in what may end up being the most competitive division in football. They’ve scored more than 40 points against the Ravens in each of their matchups. Cincinnati came into the week as a top-10 team in rushing touchdowns, net passing yards per attempt, passing touchdowns and total points. They will almost certainly finish the season that way as well.

It’s easy to forget that just five years ago, before the bleak end of the Marvin Lewis years, this was somewhat routine in Cincinnati. Before the Bengals sunk to the point where they could nab Burrow with the top pick and rebuild, they made the playoffs six times in seven years, with three AFC North titles mixed in. But after watching this Bengals team, this offense, this quarterback and the way they navigated this division, it’s more than fair to wonder if this team is good enough to win a playoff game, given that Sunday’s 41–21 win almost certainly punched their ticket. It’s even fair to wonder if they’re already better set up than they were at any point during their revival under Lewis, which, Bengals fans don’t need us to remind them, resulted in six trips to the postseason without a single win there.

 

I’ll back up for a minute and acknowledge I’ve been denied admission on the Cincinnati bandwagon. This is what happens when you pick them to win three games (we did nail one of those Steelers games, though). While I would guess there are plenty who would join me in the holding pen, it was hard to believe back in August that they’d made significant enough improvements on the offensive line. It was hard to believe that Ja’Marr Chase was that much better than Penei Sewell. It was hard to believe that Burrow, a quarterback whose greatest asset may be his common sense, was game to emerge early from a potentially career-altering knee injury, work through a minor case of the (very understandable) yips and take more sacks than almost any other quarterback in the NFL (including five each in his first two games).

 

I’ll admit I didn’t see his first offensive snap from Sunday coming, when the Ravens cracked the backfield with nonexotic four-man pressure and Burrow simply took a full-force shot from defensive tackle Broderick Washington, rolled out and flicked a dart into traffic for Tee Higgins that netted a first down. I didn’t see Higgins getting as open as he did a few plays later on that drive, when pressure got to Burrow again and he needed an option to unload after a deft sidestep. Interestingly enough, out of Burrow’s top targets, Higgins was the least consistently open, according to NextGenStats’s average separation metrics, which says a lot. Chase, C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Boyd were all over the league average against Baltimore’s depleted secondary.

 

What we can see now is an offense whose numbers seem to transcend some of the statistical similarities in their recent past. Lewis’s calling card was obviously a consistent, battering defense. But in 2015, the Bengals were seventh in points and third in net yards per passing attempt. In ’13, they were sixth in points, third in passing touchdowns and ninth in net yards per passing attempt. They were almost able to fool us into believing that an Andy Dalton offense was primed for a deep playoff run. Especially in the peak Jay Gruden years (he was OC from ’11 to ’13, and the work he did got him a head coaching gig), it was convincing.

 

That’s not what we saw on Sunday. That run was never like an axe-swinging performance from a bigger-armed, bigger-bodied quarterback like Burrow. It wasn’t Higgins ripping down balls in double coverage, three chunk passing plays for more than 50 yards or more than 11 yards per attempt from Burrow. It wasn’t as loudly dominant. The entire foundation, at least offensively, feels more solid.

 

We’ll admit that it’s a dangerous proposition to base a statement like this on feel. This team, after all, has dropped games to the Bears and Jets this season. Burrow had four games this season with a quarterback rating below 90 against better, healthier defenses. He could be that player again. Opposing defenses could realize that Jonah Williams and Quinton Spain can’t run five-man protections on their own.

 

But on days like Sunday, it looks like a bet we’d be willing to make. Suddenly, the prospect of seeing the Bengals in the playoffs looks a lot different than it might have a few years ago, when it meant something dreadful and automatic.

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26 minutes ago, Jamie_B said:

https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/12/27/bengals-joe-burrow-already-better-than-marvin-lewis-era

The Bengals Might Already Be Better Than They Ever Were Under Marvin Lewis

Joe Burrow's historic day shows Cincinnati has a higher ceiling their previous incarnation that made six one-and-done playoff exits.
 

Curse modernity and the age of instant reply, which robbed us of a fifth Joe Burrow touchdown on Sunday, on a pass that would have pushed his total for the day over 500 yards. With the game well out of reach already, he eventually eclipsed the mark, and his 525 yards give him the fourth-highest single-game total in NFL history, behind only Norm Van Brocklin, Warren Moon and Matt Schaub. While the performance was already the most significant of Burrow’s professional career, the increasingly gaudy numbers would have added an air of fitting decadence to an afternoon that taught us so much about the Bengals.

For the first time in 12 years, Cincinnati has swept the rival Ravens and Stealers. The Bengals are in sole possession of first place in what may end up being the most competitive division in football. They’ve scored more than 40 points against the Ravens in each of their matchups. Cincinnati came into the week as a top-10 team in rushing touchdowns, net passing yards per attempt, passing touchdowns and total points. They will almost certainly finish the season that way as well.

 

It’s easy to forget that just five years ago, before the bleak end of the Marvin Lewis years, this was somewhat routine in Cincinnati. Before the Bengals sunk to the point where they could nab Burrow with the top pick and rebuild, they made the playoffs six times in seven years, with three AFC North titles mixed in. But after watching this Bengals team, this offense, this quarterback and the way they navigated this division, it’s more than fair to wonder if this team is good enough to win a playoff game, given that Sunday’s 41–21 win almost certainly punched their ticket. It’s even fair to wonder if they’re already better set up than they were at any point during their revival under Lewis, which, Bengals fans don’t need us to remind them, resulted in six trips to the postseason without a single win there.

 

I’ll back up for a minute and acknowledge I’ve been denied admission on the Cincinnati bandwagon. This is what happens when you pick them to win three games (we did nail one of those Stealers games, though). While I would guess there are plenty who would join me in the holding pen, it was hard to believe back in August that they’d made significant enough improvements on the offensive line. It was hard to believe that Ja’Marr Chase was that much better than Penei Sewell. It was hard to believe that Burrow, a quarterback whose greatest asset may be his common sense, was game to emerge early from a potentially career-altering knee injury, work through a minor case of the (very understandable) yips and take more sacks than almost any other quarterback in the NFL (including five each in his first two games).

 

I’ll admit I didn’t see his first offensive snap from Sunday coming, when the Ravens cracked the backfield with nonexotic four-man pressure and Burrow simply took a full-force shot from defensive tackle Broderick Washington, rolled out and flicked a dart into traffic for Tee Higgins that netted a first down. I didn’t see Higgins getting as open as he did a few plays later on that drive, when pressure got to Burrow again and he needed an option to unload after a deft sidestep. Interestingly enough, out of Burrow’s top targets, Higgins was the least consistently open, according to NextGenStats’s average separation metrics, which says a lot. Chase, C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Boyd were all over the league average against Baltimore’s depleted secondary.

 

What we can see now is an offense whose numbers seem to transcend some of the statistical similarities in their recent past. Lewis’s calling card was obviously a consistent, battering defense. But in 2015, the Bengals were seventh in points and third in net yards per passing attempt. In ’13, they were sixth in points, third in passing touchdowns and ninth in net yards per passing attempt. They were almost able to fool us into believing that an Andy Dalton offense was primed for a deep playoff run. Especially in the peak Jay Gruden years (he was OC from ’11 to ’13, and the work he did got him a head coaching gig), it was convincing.

 

That’s not what we saw on Sunday. That run was never like an axe-swinging performance from a bigger-armed, bigger-bodied quarterback like Burrow. It wasn’t Higgins ripping down balls in double coverage, three chunk passing plays for more than 50 yards or more than 11 yards per attempt from Burrow. It wasn’t as loudly dominant. The entire foundation, at least offensively, feels more solid.

 

We’ll admit that it’s a dangerous proposition to base a statement like this on feel. This team, after all, has dropped games to the Bears and Jets this season. Burrow had four games this season with a quarterback rating below 90 against better, healthier defenses. He could be that player again. Opposing defenses could realize that Jonah Williams and Quinton Spain can’t run five-man protections on their own.

 

But on days like Sunday, it looks like a bet we’d be willing to make. Suddenly, the prospect of seeing the Bengals in the playoffs looks a lot different than it might have a few years ago, when it meant something dreadful and automatic.

Amuses to see every writer now jumping on the Bengal wagon..

Fickle bunch..

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