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Draft status updates - im too lazy to follow any other thread mentioning it..

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If there is a clear dedicated thread for just this topic, feel free to merge, i was lazy and knew it was a topic but didnt know if it was buried in 20 pages of other things..

Screenshot 2025-12-28 at 12.59.32 AM.png

so tied records, the tie breaker is strength of schedule.. the team with the LOWER strength of schedule wins, as they had the poor record facing worse opponents, thus are a worse team.

so we can no longer be 15th or 16th, i dont think we can be 14th anymore with dallas having a tie?

we they lose out and we win out, they ate 7-9-1, we are 7-10 if we win out.. so they are above us right?

so 13th is worst position we can land..

if we lose one or tampa wins one, we cannot be 13th

for 12th, atlanta plays the rams and the saints.. if they go 1-1 and we go 2-0, they pass us, they have to win out also for us to tay ahead of them, or us lose a game.

Miami, does the H2H matter? if its a 3+ way tie i dont think it does.. so SOS is king, theirs is the lowest though, so same for them, they play tampa and new england.. theyll lose out,, they will pass us.

KC, these fucking cunts, they play denver and las vegas, at BEST for us they go 1-1. they are probably motivated to tank vs the raiders, but the raiders are shooting for that #1 pick so the tank a thon of all tank a thons...

even at 1-1 they pass us with SOS.

so really 11th-13th is the landing spot, probably a 99.9% chance to be out of the top 10.

and 13th is a real possibility.

  • Author

Ah denver already played KC, so they already lost the one game... need those assholes to beat the raiders...

the SOS data is based on the current record of teams for their entire schedule, so playing a bad or good team wont move the need much week to week, but if a team wins out or loses out out of character, it would change some... like if all 14 teams the cheifs play all lose this week theyd plummet, but most teams are going to offsets and wont change OS ranking much.

  • Author

Big board of tankathon.

Downs is #3, but Safety is a low value position... not sure he gets out of the top 10 still tho...

History of drafted Safeties.

2025 Safety taken at #27

2024 - first safety at #60

2023 - pick #87? jesus

2022 - #14 kyle Hamilton

2021 - #36 holland

2020 - #36 and #37 McKinney and Dugger

2019 - #21 and #27 - Savage and Abram abram already out of the league.

so in the last 7 drafts the highest safety pick is Hamilton at #14.... that brings hope for Downs to drop to us.... Downs being compared to Ed Reed.

not a single other safety taken in the top 20 in that timeframe... unless i missed someone...

Screenshot 2025-12-28 at 1.32.17 AM.png

  • Author

I wanted to go back and find a Safety ick that is ahad of our likely pick range... it didnt take long, the 2018 draft, Mincah Fitzpatrick was taken 11th by Miami.

in the same draft, Darwin James was taken 17th and the steelers took safety, Edmunds, taken 28th.

so 3 first round safeties..

2017-- jamal adams was taken 6th overall...

hooker taken 15th,

peppers taken 25th

2 bad safeties taken first round in the 2016 draft in the first round.. first one was 16th.

seems safety high in the first has fallen off lately.. but was very common 6-8 years ago..

“Tanking” is not allowed by the NFL.

Saying that, they wink at franchises with sellable market value. No, not sell-the-team market value…but TV market value.

KC could lose for 2-3 more years, and not diminish in “fan” support—they have been too familiar to the eyeballs for a long time. If Andy Reid—who is as untouchable to a hot seat as a HC can be—wishes to “see what he has” by emptying his practice squad onto the field (with the blessing and “guideance” of his FO), then he will. They will be getting the TV eyeballs next year anyway.

The Raiders—although a historically NFL-favored franchise—are simply shit. Carroll is on a lot shakier ground, so one should not expect a deliberate lie-down.

And so on down the list.

1 minute ago, Jamie_B said:

We dropped to 10

Tankathon
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Tankathon | 2026 NFL Draft Order

2026 NFL Draft order tracker updated after every game. View traded picks in all seven rounds and a live updating Mock Draft after each game.

Still 11 is great spot for a top pick.

1 minute ago, Jamie_B said:

If the Falcons lose which they should I think we end up dropping to 11 this week

1 minute ago, I_C_Deadpeople said:

The lower we pick the higher the probability of Dufus fucking up the pick.

Just now, Jamie_B said:

That part

We can hope he makes a solid choice.

I am...

NYG “winning” the #1 Overall Bowl.

Raiders do not have make an effort to “tank”…they are simply shit.

13 hours ago, GoBengals said:

If there is a clear dedicated thread for just this topic, feel free to merge, i was lazy and knew it was a topic but didnt know if it was buried in 20 pages of other things..

Screenshot 2025-12-28 at 12.59.32 AM.png

so tied records, the tie breaker is strength of schedule.. the team with the LOWER strength of schedule wins, as they had the poor record facing worse opponents, thus are a worse team.

so we can no longer be 15th or 16th, i dont think we can be 14th anymore with dallas having a tie?

we they lose out and we win out, they ate 7-9-1, we are 7-10 if we win out.. so they are above us right?

so 13th is worst position we can land..

if we lose one or tampa wins one, we cannot be 13th

for 12th, atlanta plays the rams and the saints.. if they go 1-1 and we go 2-0, they pass us, they have to win out also for us to tay ahead of them, or us lose a game.

Miami, does the H2H matter? if its a 3+ way tie i dont think it does.. so SOS is king, theirs is the lowest though, so same for them, they play tampa and new england.. theyll lose out,, they will pass us.

KC, these fucking cunts, they play denver and las vegas, at BEST for us they go 1-1. they are probably motivated to tank vs the raiders, but the raiders are shooting for that #1 pick so the tank a thon of all tank a thons...

even at 1-1 they pass us with SOS.

so really 11th-13th is the landing spot, probably a 99.9% chance to be out of the top 10.

and 13th is a real possibility.

13 hours ago, GoBengals said:

seems safety high in the first has fallen off lately.. but was very common 6-8 years ago..

The result of analytics. Getting early pressure on a QB is far more important than having a great safety. QB efficiency drops off significantly when under duress.

4 minutes ago, High School Harry said:

Are we currently tied with Kansas City?

They are a smidgen “ahead”…looks to be due to strength of schedule for the Bengals

Just now, Le Tigre said:

They are a smidgen “ahead”…looks to be due to strength of schedule for the Bengals

Kind of harsh having a harder schedule and getting dinged for it.

55 minutes ago, SF2 said:

Kind of harsh having a harder schedule and getting dinged for it.

The way the Clowns and Newly Crowned King Shedoer and the WWE imported refs are

playing, next week might not be the gimme a lot of people are thinking, well, Bengal fans.

Total hose job today to set up a final game Stealer v Rats game for the division.

giphy-15.gif

7 minutes ago, High School Harry said:

The way the Clowns and Newly Crowned King Shedoer and the WWE imported refs are

playing, next week might not be the gimme a lot of people are thinking, well, Bengal fans.

Total hose job today to set up a final game Stealer v Rats game for the division.

giphy-15.gif

Of course

10 minutes ago, High School Harry said:

The way the Clowns and Newly Crowned King Shedoer and the WWE imported refs are

playing, next week might not be the gimme a lot of people are thinking, well, Bengal fans.

Total hose job today to set up a final game Stealer v Rats game for the division.

giphy-15.gif

A full week of Shedeur glazers pretending he played great. It was like watching Tebow throw up 25 yard Hail Mary’s.

9 minutes ago, High School Harry said:

Total hose job today to set up a final game Stealer v Rats game for the division.

You caught that too? I will also say that part of their demise was that Rodgers was shit, and no DK. Perfectly timed.

Prime Time Jr was only slightly less shit.

CFT is happily set for next season. Stefanski is safe…defense is intact. They will, once again, be “Winners of Draft Day”

I am anticipating Joe will have much “fun” Sunday.

2 minutes ago, Le Tigre said:

You caught that too? I will also say that part of their demise was that Rodgers was shit, and no DK. Perfectly timed.

Prime Time Jr was only slightly less shit.

CFT is happily set for next season. Stefanski is safe…defense is intact. They will, once again, be “Winners of Draft Day”

I am anticipating Joe will have much “fun” Sunday.

Metcalf costing himself $555,000 because a fan said something to him.

39 minutes ago, SF2 said:

To be fair, I seriously doubt the NFL is very excited about only having 2 meaningful games week 18 between teams that only one has a winning record.

Hopefully, the game is on Saturday. Much better for me

  • Author
4 hours ago, I_C_Deadpeople said:

The lower we pick the higher the probability of Dufus fucking up the pick.

so the same results as every other franchise in nfl history? the later the pick the worse the options and the worse the odds of a pick paying off?

literally the ENTIRE NFL has the exact same data on this.... all 32...

like saying "oh the lower paying job you get the less money youll make"

no fucking shit..

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