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Football Outsiders' Playoff Odds


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On the FO Site (footballoutsiders.com) they have a playoff odds calculator where they play the rest of the season from this point 10000 times, and see who makes the playoffs.

They have a weighting system that says we are the third best team in our division (Ravens are #1), yet:

We have a 97% chance of making the playoffs. We expect to win about 12 games. We have an 86% chance of winning the division, and 51% chance to get a bye. 10% of the time we are the #1 seed.
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