Jump to content

AmishBengalFan

Go-Bengals.com Content Contributor
  • Posts

    6,264
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    39

Everything posted by AmishBengalFan

  1. Win more games. Lol. Right now, they're all 8-6. JAX is 3-1 H2H, HOU and IND are 1-2 and have a game left against each other. Head-to-head, they fall out: JAX 1-1 v HOU JAX 2-0 v IND IND 1-0 v HOU (they play again Week 18) JAX will win any tie that involves IND in any capacity, whether HOU is involved or not. Remaining games: JAX: at TBB, CAR, at TEN IND: at ATL, LVR, HOU HOU: CLE, TEN, at IND If JAX loses to TBB (which they're capable of doing), HOU moves into the driver's seat. If JAX implodes (dropping two or three), then HOU wouldn't even need to beat CLE to take the division - just wins over TEN and IND would be enough. IND could finish no better than 10-7, HOU no worse than 10-7, HOU beating IND would negate IND's earlier H2H victory, and HOU would finish 4-2 in division play (they're 2-2 right now), which would beat IND at 3-3 (3-2 right now), giving them the division.
  2. Don't worry, I won't. Lol We cannot win the North so we are no longer competing against BAL, KCC (2 up on DEN with 3 to play) or MIA (2 up on BUF). Of the teams likely to be in Wild Card contention, we beat IND, JAX and BUF, lost to HOU and did not play DEN. So, we want HOU to win the South (which they're perfectly capable of doing) so we're only dealing with teams we beat, and need to keep ahead of DEN to avoid any tiebreaker that discounts our victories over IND JAX BUF and makes conference record (we are 3-6) important. HOU taking the South, us not losing ground to IND JAX BUF and us maintaining our lead over DEN will get us to the dance. We can catch CFT, or we can finish in 3rd behind them, won't really matter as long as we hold serve against the others.
  3. Allow me to clarify. If there is a tie involving multiple teams, and if any of those teams are from the same division, those teams (and those alone) go thru the division tiebreakers to separate them. Only the topmost team from a division continues. Another way of looking at this is you have to rank all of the teams within a division 1-2-3-4 before doing anything else. Once you've done that, you them take the topmost team from each division, and they (and only they) get considered for a wildcard. Record, sweep, conference record, SOV, SOS, etc are used to pick the one team from those under consideration to "win" that spot. Once that team is selected, the next-best team from that division is added to replace them and you repeat the process. Division record is only used in the division tiebreakers. It's after head to head, which is after winning percentage. So, yeah, I think you are misreading the process. No fault in that, as long as someone knows how it works. Right now we are 8-6. We are behind CFT in the North, so until they get a playoff spot we aren't even under consideration. Excluding the four division leaders, the four teams in the mix for Seed #5 are: E BUF 8-6 N CFT 9-5 S IND 8-6 W DEN 7-7 CFT gets it, best record. Then moving on to Seed #6: E BUF 8-6 N CIN 8-6 S IND 8-6 W DEN 7-7 CIN gets it. Records are the same, CIN swept BUF/IND. If DEN were 8-6 instead of 7-7 there's no sweep since DEN/CIN have not played. With nobody sweeping or having been swept we go to the next step, Conference Record, where we get boned. Moving on to Seed #7: E BUF 8-6 N PIT 7-7 S IND 8-6 W DEN 7-7 IND gets it on conference record (6-4 v 4-5) because they have not played BUF. Seed #8: E BUF 8-6 N PIT 7-7 S HOU 8-6 W DEN 7-7 HOU on conference record (5-4 v 4-5). Note, the South is JAX-IND-HOU (all 8-6) because JAX has the best head-to-head record of the three, and IND is 1-0 v HOU. Seed #9: E BUF 8-6 N PIT 7-7 S TEN 5-9 W DEN 7-7 BUF Seed #10: E NYJ 5-9 N PIT 7-7 S TEN 5-9 W DEN 7-7 PIT on conference record (5-5 v 4-5) And so on....
  4. But don't take my word for it. Here's the NFL explaining it..... https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures
  5. Division TB is only applied when breaking ties within the division. When comparing us to Indy, Denver, Buffalo or anyone else NOT in the North, our division record does not matter one whit. It's sweep/head to head, conference record, common opponents, SOV and SOS in that order. The NFL tiebreaking scheme has been largely unchanged for decades - I am floored why so many people fundamentally don't understand how it works.
  6. Trevor Siemian is in at QB for the Jests. Harambe approves.
  7. If Denver beats Detroit, we get bumped down to #8 due to (a) Denver forcing a 3-way tie at 8-6; (b) us not having played Denver, negating any head-to-head or sweep tiebreak step, which eliminates our advantage over the Dolts; (c) Indy winning the first tiebreak over us and DEN on conference record, and; (d) Denver winning the second tiebreak over us based on conference record with Indy no longer in the tie. If it's a 2-way tie with Indy (or a 3-way with Indy and Buffalo), our head-to-head win(s) give us the edge. So..... for this week: - If Denver > Detroit: Indy becomes the #6 seed, Denver is #7 and we're #8.... Houston would move to #7 on Sunday with a win over Tennessee, bumping DEN to 8 and us to 9. - If Detroit > Denver: We will be #6 and Indy #7. I don't think it's possible for any other movement to happen this week. But even if we end up on the outside looking in after this weekend is over, we're 8-6 now.... every win simplifies the scenarios and draws the playoffs closer to our grasp.
  8. Indy throttles the team from near West Virginia. The AFC Playoff standings at this moment: (1) Baltimore (10-3) North (2) Miami (9-4) East (3) Kansas City (8-5) West (4) Jacksonville (8-5) South (5) Cleveland's Current Football Team (8-5) Wild Card #1 (6) Cincinnati (8-6) Wild Card #2 (7) Indianapolis (8-6) Wild Card #3 Projected Pairings: BYE - (1) BAL (7) IND (8-6) at (2) MIA (9-4) (6) CIN (8-6) at (3) KCC (8-5) (5) CLE (8-5) at (4) JAX (8-5)
  9. That punk has the most punchable face in the NFL. I'm a peaceful Amish guy, but when I see Rudolph I just wanna punch that face hard.
  10. God.... even when NFL Network's cameras scan the stadium and highlight Colts fans, those fans are all totally pedestrian vanilla butt-munchers who think they're all tough while watching a game in a climate-controlled shopping mall.
  11. I would like to see the league finally crack down on the wreckless head-hunting style that the Stealers coach into their players. Zero tolerance.... when shit like this happens, the offending player is automatically ejected. Furthermore - any time a player does something so egregious that they get automatically disqualified even without a first warning - like we just saw - then a warning is issued against the offending team. If something even remotely like that happens again for the rest of the game the head coach or the defensive coordinator is disqualified.
  12. Okay. I get that. But what does it have to do with cash register receipts? Is this one of those memes you kids enjoy so much?
  13. IND (7-6) v PIT (7-6) - winner joins us at (8-6) Some are arguing that a PIT win is better for us because we play them and IND has a soft schedule. I say that an IND win is better because we hold the tiebreak over IND and will likely lose any tiebreak to any AFC-N team. Best case is a tie, but failing that I'm rooting for IND..... they're soft and perfectly capable of losing games they should win. We need to put PIT behind us in the standings to win a tiebreak against them, and that journey starts with them getting a 7th loss today. We're alone in the #6 spot. IND wins, we remain #6. PIT wins and they bump us to #7. I'm not rooting for either team, but I'm rooting against PIT more than IND. DEN (7-6) v DET Go Lions - of course.
  14. Jake Browning's starts: 2023-11-16 PIT (L10-16) 19-26 227 1/1 QBR=96.2 2023-12-04 @JAX (W 34-31) 32-37 354 1/0 QBR=115.5 2023-12-10 IND (W 34-14) 18-24 275 2/1 QBR=122.7 2024-12-16 MIN (W 27-24 OT) 29-42 342 2/1 QBR=99.5 Total: 98-129 (76.0%) 1198 (299.5 ypg) 6/3 QBR=109.9
  15. Okay. I admit, I don't get it. Is this a CVS reference because their paper receipts are so stupidly long? And if so, why? Shouldn't this be a Target reference, since their HQ is in Minn and the locals like to riot and burn them down a lot?
×
×
  • Create New...