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Dan Parr 2024 NFL mock draft 1.0: Three trades; Bengals land pass catcher for Joe Burrow


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Published: Feb 16, 2024 at 11:16 AM
 

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Dan Parr

Original Content Editor, Draft Strategy

 

 

We're still about a month away from the 2024 NFL Draft outlook coming into clearer view, with the NFL Scouting Combine kicking into high gear a couple weeks from now and the start of free agency following shortly thereafter. Many questions will be answered between now and then. With that, I submit my first foray into the mock-verse, where I tried to untangle the 32-pick web by filling team needs as they stand in mid-February.

 

 

 

Pick
1
 

 

(via CAR)
 

 

USC · QB · Junior

A lot can change between mid-February and the start of the draft, but right now, anything other than Williams to the Bears at No. 1 would be a surprise to me.

Pick
2
 

 

 

 

North Carolina · QB · Sophomore (RS)

The Commanders explore moving up to reunite Caleb Williams with OC Kliff Kingsbury, but the asking price is too rich for a team with plenty of other needs. Maye gives Washington a foundation to build on.

Pick
3
 

 

 

 

Ohio State · WR · Junior

In this scenario, the Patriots trade for Justin Fields and start a new era by giving him arguably the best player in the draft.

Pick
4
 

 

 

 

LSU · QB · Senior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH ARIZONA CARDINALS

 

Atlanta pounces before another team moves up for the Heisman Trophy winner’s services. Daniels brings dual-threat electricity to the Falcons’ offense under new head coach Raheem Morris.

Pick
5
 

 

 

 

Notre Dame · OT · Junior

Jim Harbaugh has made it abundantly clear he wants a tough, physical team that can protect Justin Herbert. There might be bigger needs on paper come draft day, but selecting Alt to play right tackle seems like the pick most in line with the head coach’s philosophy.

Pick
6
 

 

 

 

LSU · WR · Junior

If the Giants are going to run it back with Daniel Jones, they might as well give him a true No. 1 wide receiver for the first time in his career. Nabers has the talent to provide the G-Men with an element they have missed since Odell Beckham Jr.'s heyday.

Pick
7
 

 

 

 

Penn State · OT · Junior (RS)

The Titans have to give Will Levis better protection if they want him to make progress in Year 2. Fashanu, Levis' teammate for a year at Penn State, should be part of the solution.

Pick
8
 

 

 

 

Washington · WR · Senior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH ATLANTA FALCONS

 

GM Monti Ossenfort now owns multiple picks in each of the first three rounds after trading down to No. 8. He holds the keys to the draft and still manages to find Kyler Murray a receiver who has drawn comparisons to Cardinals legend Larry Fitzgerald. 

Pick
9
 

 

 

 

Alabama · Edge · Junior

The Bears have to find someone who can pressure quarterbacks other than Montez Sweat. They can make a case that they left Round 1 with the top quarterback and top edge rusher available this year.

Pick
10
 

 

 

 

Michigan · QB · Junior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH NEW YORK JETS

 

You really think Michigan Man and soon-to-be Raiders minority owner Tom Brady is going to let McCarthy fall to the Vikings at No. 11 or the rival Broncos at No. 12? Not happening. Vegas goes all in on the national title winner.

Pick
11
 

 

 

 

Florida State · Edge · Senior

With free agency potentially leaving the Vikings thin off the edge, Verse’s relentless effort will be welcomed by DC Brian Flores.

Pick
12
 

 

 

 

Georgia · TE · Junior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH DENVER BRONCOS

 

I know, it never happens. The Bengals haven’t traded up in Round 1 since 1995, when they took Ki-Jana Carter first overall. Well, it’s time to put that streak to an end. The value of a top-five talent at No. 12 is too great for Cincinnati to resist, and the team doesn’t have a tight end under contract for 2024 as of this writing. Denver needs more draft picks, and the Bengals need Bowers.

Pick
13
 

 

 

 

Oregon State · OT · Senior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

 

The Jets recoup some draft capital after trading for Aaron Rodgers last year, and they get some much-needed help up front for the QB with the selection of the ultra-tough Fuaga.

Pick
14
 

 

 

 

Alabama · OT · Junior

New Orleans might need new starters at both left and right tackle. The powerful Latham can immediately step in on the right side.

Pick
15
 

 

 

 

Alabama · CB · Sophomore (RS)

There’s a decent chance Arnold will go earlier than 15th overall. If he’s still available, GM Chris Ballard delights in his good fortune, landing the draft’s top corner in the middle of Round 1.

Pick
16
 

 

 

 

Washington · OT · Senior

New OC Ryan Grubb grabs his former pupil at UW. Fautanu can line up anywhere on the offensive line, but the Seahawks might be best served playing him at guard.

Pick
17
 

 

 

 

Texas · DT · Junior

The Jaguars add some serious juice on the interior. If they bring back pending free agent Josh Allen and new DC Ryan Nielsen fully unlocks 2022 No. 1 overall pick Travon Walker’s potential, Murphy could be part of a ferocious front.

Pick
18
 

 

 

 

Oregon · QB · Senior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH CINCINNATI BENGALS

 

Sean Payton is desperate for help after parting with Russell Wilson in this hypothetical and missing out on the first four quarterbacks off the board. Nix has the experience and intelligence to be a good fit in Denver.

Pick
19
 

 

 

 

UCLA · Edge · Senior

If you want wins off the edge, Latu is your guy. He will kick the intensity of the Rams’ pass rush up a notch.

Pick
20
 

 

 

 

Oklahoma · OT · Senior

Pittsburgh slides last year’s first-rounder, Broderick Jones, to the left side, making room for Guyton at right tackle. Now, which quarterback will they be protecting?

Pick
21
 

 

 

 

Oregon · C · Junior

This looks good on an offensive lineman’s résumé, folks: Zero sacks allowed on 714 career pass-blocking snaps, per PFF. Powers-Johnson steps right in at center, filling a void for Miami.

Pick
22
 

 

 

 

Toledo · CB · Senior

The Eagles had one of the worst pass defenses in the league last season, and their top corners -- Darius Slay (33) and James Bradberry (31 in August) -- aren’t getting any younger. Mitchell showed at the Senior Bowl that he deservers to be in the draft’s CB1 conversation.

Pick
23
 

 

(via CLE)
 

 

Clemson · CB · Junior

At least one scout views Wiggins as a better prospect than Seahawks stud rookie Devon Witherspoon was a year ago. High praise. The Texans snag a Clemson Tiger to play opposite Derek Stingley Jr.

Pick
24
 

 

 

 

Duke · IOL · Senior

If Tyler Biadasz departs in free agency, Barton could be the perfect successor at center.

Pick
25
 

 

 

 

Iowa · CB · Junior

The Packers can’t quit Iowa defenders. For the second year in a row, Green Bay turns to the Hawkeyes in the first round, this time adding a versatile defensive back with a knack for making big plays.

Pick
26
 

 

 

 

Penn State · Edge · Junior

The production might give some teams pause (9.5 sacks in last two seasons), but the freakish athletic ability will make other teams salivate. The Bucs can’t resist here, especially with Shaquil Barrett’s play trending in the wrong direction.

Pick
27
 

 

(via HOU)
 

 

Georgia · OT · Junior

The Cardinals have the picks to move up the board for help in the trenches if they want to be aggressive, but they stay put in this scenario. This selection gives them two young bookends to build the offensive line around, with Mims joining last year’s first-rounder, Paris Johnson Jr.

Pick
28
 

 

 

 

LSU · WR · Junior

It’s been a decade since the franchise spent a first-round pick on a receiver. With Gabe Davis headed for free agency, now is the time to strike for Thomas, who led the FBS with 17 touchdown catches in 2023.

Pick
29
 

 

 

 

Alabama · CB · Junior

I can hear Dan Campbell saying “Kool-Aid? Oh yeah!” when GM Brad Holmes sends this pick in. McKinstry’s game might not have a lot of flash, but he’s a well-schooled, confident cover corner who will reunite with Alabama teammate Brian Branch in the Detroit secondary.

Pick
30
 

 

 

 

Florida State · WR · Junior

An offensive lineman could be the play for the Ravens in Round 1. In this case, they decide to give Lamar Jackson a receiver who can win jump-ball battles and be a menace in the red zone.

Pick
31
 

 

 

 

Missouri · DE · Senior

NFL.com draft expert Daniel Jeremiah likened Robinson’s evaluation to that of the 49ers’ Arik Armstead. With Armstead potentially a year away from hitting free agency, why not take the 6-foot-5, 286-pounder to be his successor.

Pick
32
 

 

 

 

North Carolina · WR · Senior

Walker might not have received glowing reviews at the Senior Bowl, but teams will go back to the tape and see what he did at North Carolina last season (41 catches for 699 yards and seven TDs in eight games). He can be a reliable wideout for Patrick Mahomes.

 

https://www.nfl.com/news/dan-parr-2024-nfl-mock-draft-1-0

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Brock is definitely the trendy pick for the Bengals right now...truth is idk if he'll even last that long and like the article says, very rare they trade up. New Dey and all of that tho I suppose. I just have a feeling some team before us is high on him as well. Sign THuddy and Sample and pick someone up in the later rounds and I think that'd work for the time being.

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Unless we kill it in free agency, we won't be in position to trade up for Bowers or anyone else. This roster needs a talent infusion. Bowers would certainly fix the TE position but we'd probably have to give up our 2nd to move up 6 spots in the first round. That means trading away a couple of pretty good players for 1 excellent one. Might work but it's not the sort of risk the Bengals like to take. 

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As you’re going to lose Tee after this year, Bowers makes alot of sense as he would instantly be a legitimate 2nd receiving option behind JaMarr. Bowers is a mismatch waiting to happen. Too big and strong for 99% of DBs and way too quick and fast for 99% of LBs. 

 

Not happening though most likely but I think he would be a welcome addition to this offense. 

 

 

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13 hours ago, IKOTA said:

As you’re going to lose Tee after this year, Bowers makes alot of sense as he would instantly be a legitimate 2nd receiving option behind JaMarr. Bowers is a mismatch waiting to happen. Too big and strong for 99% of DBs and way too quick and fast for 99% of LBs. 

 

Not happening though most likely but I think he would be a welcome addition to this offense. 

 

 

But we could tag Tee twice. If Joe's contract does not kick in until 2025, then a new Chase deal would not kick in until 2026? So we could afford the 2025 tag on Tee? He would not betoo happy but that's business. 

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6 minutes ago, I_C_Deadpeople said:

But we could tag Tee twice. If Joe's contract does not kick in until 2025, then a new Chase deal would not kick in until 2026? So we could afford the 2025 tag on Tee? He would not betoo happy but that's business. 

Gosh, I’m not sure there are many humans who would “not be too happy” to make between $20-$40 million in two years’ time. 

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14 hours ago, IKOTA said:

As you’re going to lose Tee after this year, Bowers makes alot of sense as he would instantly be a legitimate 2nd receiving option behind JaMarr. Bowers is a mismatch waiting to happen. Too big and strong for 99% of DBs and way too quick and fast for 99% of LBs. 

 

Not happening though most likely but I think he would be a welcome addition to this offense. 

 

 


Saw Goodberry talking about drafting him and essentially turning him into a slot receiver/move tight end. They think he’s going to show up to the combine fairly light ~235ish and run fast which would possibly drop him a little bit since he’s not prototypical size for a standard 11 personnel TE.

 

Could turn them into a more Ravens/Chiefs like team that has the ability to run 11 or 12 personnel on any given play. If teams go light - Brock is big enough to hold his own in the run game and if they go big - you can split Brock out. 

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7 hours ago, Le Tigre said:

Gosh, I’m not sure there are many humans who would “not be too happy” to make between $20-$40 million in two years’ time. 

Most players hate being tagged because they want $50M + guaranteed now instead of the one year guarantee. So they hate being tagged twice even more

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If they “hate” being paid obscene amounts of money—even on a year-by-year basis, they could be paid only for one year, and make more than the cumulative totals for populations of small nations.

 

I recall some NBA player a while ago—Sprewell I think—who was lamenting he had “to feed my family” when offered $20 million. 
 

That’s entertainment I suppose. 

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