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Playoff picture with 5 games left.


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[quote name='Bengals1181' timestamp='1321978324' post='1066260']
[url="https://twitter.com/#!/LanceMcAlister"]LanceMcAlister[/url] [color=#999999][size=3]Lance McAlister[/size][/color]




"I watched every snap Sunday. I believe they (Bengals) will make the playoffs"--Peter King on ESPN Radio

[url="https://twitter.com/#!/LanceMcAlister/status/139008011489394688"]7 minutes ago[/url] [size=2][url="https://twitter.com/#"][b]Favorite[/b][/url] [url="https://twitter.com/#"][b]Retweet[/b][/url] [url="https://twitter.com/#"][b]Reply[/b][/url][/size]
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Also in the playoffs it will be cold and crappy outside. The vertical game won't work. You'll need your short passes and a hell of a running game. I think we'll be fine just need to get our running game going a bit.
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[quote name='membengal' timestamp='1321700571' post='1063866']
Eh, odds are Bengals are not running the table, so the "take care of business" thing sounds nice, but isn't practical.

Bengals have a real shot at 10-6. Question is whether that will be good enough to secure a wild card spot. The Jets loss the other night was a real help toward that end.
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Well, I'm sticking with my preseason prediction...12-4. Bengals are running the table last 6 games....bye week in rd 1 of playoffs.
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it starts

[quote] Dear RYAN,
[font="arial"][size="2"]As the Bengals start gearing up for the Battle of Ohio this weekend we wanted to quickly inform you about a mailing you’ll soon be receiving. The NFL office has given our organization a directive to begin sending out invoices to all season ticket holders in the event that we would host home playoff games. [/size][/font]
[font="arial"][size="2"]Therefore in accordance with the League’s request, we will be sending out playoff invoices this week. Payment will be due by Monday, December 12, 2011. If you do not receive your playoff invoice by Thursday, December 1 please contact our offices and we can get another invoice sent to your attention. [/size][/font]
[font="arial"][size="2"]Thank you once again for your tremendous support throughout the season and we hope to see you at Paul Brown Stadium in the postseason! [/size][/font]
[font="arial"][size="2"]Who Dey![/size][/font]
Cincinnati Bengals[/quote]
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[quote name='Bengals1181' timestamp='1321984202' post='1066288']
ESPN's playoff simulator is up.

[url="http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine"]http://espn.go.com/n...layoffs/machine[/url]
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crap, I just did a projection for the rest of the season and the Jets beat us out even though we were both 10-6. It was because of the third tiebreaker, win loss percentage against common opponents.

We really need the jets to drop a game to the chiefs, bills, or dolphins. Or, it's imperative the Bengals get 2 games out of the ravens/stealers/texans games. That way it wouldn't even get to the third tiebreaker.

Ideally, a jets loss to the bills takes care of the third tiebreaker. Or a bengals win vs the ravens. Jets and Bengals are currently both 2-2 against common opponents, with one game left for each.
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[quote name='Rumble In the Jungle' timestamp='1321994887' post='1066342']
I sent Tim Tebow and email to say a prayer for us to make the Playoffs. Hope he does and responds to me [img]http://www.wrensworld.com/praying%20smiley.gif[/img]


PS, we should add this [img]http://discusswls.com/images/smilies/sending%20prayer%20smiley.gif[/img]
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He's so going to Crusade your holy land for that.... And by holy land, I mean your house... And by Crusade, I mean throw a pass that hits your neighbor's house.
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[quote name='Rumble In the Jungle' timestamp='1321999194' post='1066351']
On nfl.com it has pic team to win for the week and project the playoffs and on mine it had us going to Oakland for the first game of the playoffs for the wildcard. Could you guys really handle us losing to Carson if we went there for the first round?
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This board would implode.
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[quote name='SouthPaw' timestamp='1321990625' post='1066317']
My main concern, however, is dropping a game we are favored such as this coming week, st. louis, or Ariz. For some reason i have a bad feeling about that game in St. Louis. Hopefully it wont matter.
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Wow, I was looking at the remaining schedule this afternoon and had the same exact thought! I don't like the feeling I have about the game at St. Louis. Call me a pessimist, but I think this team has one more "inexcusable" loss left in them. If they do, they'll need to make it up with a win over Pittsburgh or Baltimore. Given the injury to the Houston QB, none of the other four remaining games are "excusable" losses.
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[quote name='Rumble In the Jungle' timestamp='1321994887' post='1066342']
I sent Tim Tebow and email to say a prayer for us to make the Playoffs. Hope he does and responds to me [img]http://www.wrensworld.com/praying%20smiley.gif[/img]


PS, we should add this [img]http://discusswls.com/images/smilies/sending%20prayer%20smiley.gif[/img]
[/quote]
Tebow does not pray to Allah. FAIL.
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according to the stat geeks over at football outsiders, even after the loss to the ravens, our playoff odds actually increased this past week (thanks in large part to the jets loss).

based on their simulation model, we make the playoffs ~60% of the time.
[url="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds"]http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds[/url]

take that for what it's worth.
also, go bills this weekend!
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[quote name='bengaldomer' timestamp='1322062504' post='1066514']
according to the stat geeks over at football outsiders, even after the loss to the ravens, our playoff odds actually increased this past week (thanks in large part to the jets loss).

based on their simulation model, we make the playoffs ~60% of the time.
[url="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds"]http://www.footballo...ats/playoffodds[/url]

take that for what it's worth.
also, go bills this weekend!
[/quote]


Their team ability rankings are questionable. They think that the Jets are super good. And the Texans.

Ok, their team rankings suck.
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[quote name='Oldcat' timestamp='1322063044' post='1066518']


Their team ability rankings are questionable. They think that the Jets are super good. And the Texans.

Ok, their team rankings suck.
[/quote]

Have you seen the Jets play? They're no better than an average team but they have a nice schedule
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[quote name='gatorclaws' timestamp='1322063416' post='1066521']

Have you seen the Jets play? They're no better than an average team but they have a nice schedule
[/quote]

My comment was on the FO rating for them, which is supposed to account for strength of schedule and get a 'true' rating. They say that the Jets and Texans are two of the top three. They say the Texans are better than Green Bay. Even before they lost their QB, this was not the case.

Statistically, their methods have problems with overcounting. Thier methods also favor one kind of offensive style over others that might work just as well. Since they use these weights to guess who will win future games in their projections, this has some relevance to their playoff projections.
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